Join us for our observations about last year and the year to come.
Hosts: William Sikkens, Bill Snodgrass, and Gretchen Winkler
Transcript
Welcome to
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:User Friendly 2.0 with Host Bill Sikkens,
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:technology architect.
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:And this is User Friendly
2.0 here in the New Year.
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:Bill. Gretchen
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:welcome to:
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:Yay! Hello.
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:World.
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:Yeah, I would be much more on that
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:when they dropped the
whatever they dropped this year.
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:So you know.
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:So anyway, so yeah
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::
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:We are starting out in the new year
and it's the third.
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:So I'm sure, you know, 90% of us
have already dropped the resolutions.
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:Yeah.
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:You know, I depends on
how they make their solutions.
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:Yeah, I don't
I don't do that anymore either.
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:It's,
I never did old tradition, you know, but
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:we have seen a lot of changes
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:in tech last year,
and a lot are coming up this year.
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:So we thought we'd do a little bit
rent for the first episode of:
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:Take a look back on our first segment
at:
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:you know, what is actually happened.
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:And then in our second segment,
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:we're going to talk:
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:So this is a list that I put together.
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:I don't know if this has any,
any particular order
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:of some of the things that I remember.
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:And we're just going to kind of have
a candid conversation about the first one
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:is generative AI.
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:Now, obviously, this has been something
that's been all over the place.
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::
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:not just as a tool,
but as a core enabler across industries.
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:And we're seeing this in basically
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:everything
you're looking at from chat box.
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:You know, giving out right
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:wrong information is maybe not
come into its own yet to other things.
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:Now on to positive things like ChatGPT
and all of that
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:have really gotten better.
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:I know it's a program
where it's actually useful.
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:And, Gretchen, you've been working with
AI for editing, not writing,
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:but editing, you know,
and that kind of thing. Anything.
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:And, Bill,
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:I know you want to just delete all the
AI and go back to where we were. So.
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:So, you know, new technologies are great,
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:but sometimes I think they're dropped
into things a little bit too fast.
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:Story that's interesting on
this comes out of New York and the city.
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:It was one of the boroughs
had an AI chat bot
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:where you would go on to the website
to find out, you know, like about building
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:permits and hiring codes
and all that kind of stuff.
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:And it was giving flat out
wrong information.
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:So the question
that, you know, comes out of that is
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:this is information that's being provided
by an official website of the government
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:website says that you can go
by the information that's on there.
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:But if you're asking the do
I need a building permit to,
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:you know, tear down my house
and build a new one?
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:It says, no, you don't.
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:Just let us know afterwards.
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:So is that really the AI's fault
or the human
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:that gave it the inaccurate information?
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:Well, if it was really an AI that
they were using, they're saying it is.
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:I did a little research into this,
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:and I think that is the problem with this
specific one large language model.
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:It probably would be a lot more accurate.
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:And they are in this case,
it's like they just gave it.
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:So it's a weird way of doing it.
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:I've heard of this before
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:is you're typing the system that they have
is trying to guess the next word.
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:That would be appropriate.
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:And that's how it works.
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:So obviously
that's not going to be two things.
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:And they test it out too
and ask that the same question five times.
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:And got a different answer
for all five questions.
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:You know.
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:So it's it's not an idea.
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:Yeah.
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:That's predictive
text like on your cell phone.
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:That was really annoying.
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:It still is.
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:So yeah.
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:So no no no that's I don't consider that
really I that's that's not useful.
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:Yeah.
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:And you but the thing of it is, is again
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:you have something under that auspice
that is really giving out
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:incorrect information
and it can become a problem.
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:I'd love to talk to a lawyer
and see what the legal angle is on this.
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:If I even told something by the chat bot,
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:I'm told to go to on a city's website.
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:That is information
coming from this official site,
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:and then I get in trouble for it later.
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:I mean, how would that work? Really?
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:Yeah.
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:It's, you know, one of those things,
I guess it'll have to be figured
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:out, but, Yeah.
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:So, I don't know what we'll talk about
where I is going in the next segment here,
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:but we definitely are seeing it attached
to everything of your operating systems
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:on your computers.
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:Now, your word, all of that kind of stuff.
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:Your phone, any search engine you use,
there are some that still don't,
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:but it's kind of really gotten
into the majority of things.
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:And it's actually to a point now
that you're in the tech industry and you,
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:apply for certain jobs and haven't used
AI, you simply won't qualify.
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:So, you know, it's it's definitely not,
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:something that's optional
on certain things either.
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:But, I want to see where we end up.
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:I, I saw a documentary, over the holidays
about this and where this is going.
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:It's called Terminator.
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:Right.
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:Now, next one that we saw last year,
which was it was out there,
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:but it wasn't quite as on top of things
as AI is quantum computing.
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:And quantum level technology
moving towards real world use.
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:So we're going to do a show
on this this year
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:because we've had a lot of questions
come in.
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:And it's one of those things
that is too hard to like.
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:Answer in five minutes.
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:It will require a deep dive to get into.
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:But the thing of it is, is we are seeing,
where this is.
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:The UN has said that it's, converted
from future promise to early impact.
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:So that means that, you know, it's here
and it's very early forms
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:and in its very early forms,
it's already showing us a lot of things
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:where on computing capability,
it's faster.
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:And that's like the understatement
of the year already.
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:Three days and, it can crack
codes, encryption, all that kind of stuff
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:is going to have to be changed
very quickly.
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:The whole idea of using passwords
for things has been obsolete,
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:but it's really going to become obsolete.
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:But on a positive side,
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:it can analyze things
and like the medical arena,
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:buying things that a doctor wouldn't
see right away, be able to,
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:you know, do
a lot of stuff that is going to be,
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:well, earth shattering in
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:some ways especially, it's just coming
online and we're seeing a little bit more.
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:And like I say, we'll deep dive into this.
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:We've got a lot of questions about this
in the past year, but it is definitely
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:something that I think, you know, is here.
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:d it's something that came in:
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:What do you guys think about quantum
computing?
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:I'm just, you know, kind of off the cuff.
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:But,
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:I don't
I think I don't have enough information
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:to really give an intelligent,
thoughtful response.
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:So, you know, sometimes it's better
just to,
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:you know, observe and keep quiet.
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:One of the one of the most interesting
things from our listener
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:feedback that I've seen on
this question is you have to send in
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:and you take an average on
this is one of the most like nine
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:on the comments we've had on it,
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:is that the quantum computers
look like a chandelier.
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:I mean, it's something out of cyberpunk,
but it is something
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:that you could technically
say looks like a chandelier.
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:If you don't know what we're talking about
next time you're online, Google it.
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:You know, look up Quantum Computer
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:and see some of the pictures
because they are it just brings up
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:all kinds of questions as to
why is it that way?
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:It looks like an upside down tomato plant.
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:You know, it's hanging down.
You know what?
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:Why is it that way?
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:What's it doing?
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:Does it why does it need to be that way?
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:So I have lots of questions.
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:So but I don't I don't know the value,
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:the true value of this type of machine
and what it can do.
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:Yeah.
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:So and like I say
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:we're going to deep dive into this is,
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:is why this you know okay it'll crack
passwords.
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:That's nice.
But why is it really important.
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:And the other question
is where I'm going to answer is,
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:why does it look like the way it looks?
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:Because there is a there is
a specific reason for it, with a design.
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:So we'll be diving into that
a little later this year.
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:But, definitely
something that we've heard about.
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:And, you know, we've said in the past
the stuff that was completely science
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:fiction ten years ago is now we can buy
out of the store in a lot of cases.
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:So why not this?
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:And actually, I think it's going to do
more good than bad, by a lot.
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:It's not a negative technology
by any means,
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:but it is something that's going to change
a lot of things. So.
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:All right, what are the other things
that:
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:upgrading energy
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:and material innovations,
dealing with things like batteries,
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:the structural batteries, other things
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:like that, allowing for electric storage.
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:I thing for energy shifting.
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:And I know right now
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:we're still trying to get that working
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:on year round, but,
you have a basic version of this
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:with a battery backup
that you have on your refrigerator.
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:Yeah.
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:And you're on an energy program
where power is cheaper at night.
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:Like a lot cheaper than it is
during prime time.
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:And the reason they're doing that
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:is to try to get people to not do stuff
unless it's absolutely necessary.
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:When it's hot in the summer
and you're going to overload the grid
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:if you're not careful.
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:So what this device does is, is
how's the time set?
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:And I think, what
what is your prime time? 5 to 9.
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:The expensive time is from 5 to 9.
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:Yeah, right. I try not to do anything.
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:No dishwashers, washing machines, dryers.
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:You know, I try to avoid those things.
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:Yeah, exactly.
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:You know, and so, I'm 5:00, you know,
the power goes up.
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:So what this does is you program
it and it's got a battery in it.
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:It's meant for power failures, primarily,
but at 5:00, it disconnects itself
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:from the grid
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:and powers the device, in this case,
a refrigerator off of the batteries.
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:So basically it's energy shifting.
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:And then at 9:00,
when that goes on, it kicks back in.
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:At least in theory.
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:We haven't been able to completely
get it to work yet. No we haven't.
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:We weren't able to get it to work.
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:But we will. We will, and I hope so again.
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:And, at 9:00 starts
recharging the battery.
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:And, just in answer to that,
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:I have figured out what we were doing
wrong.
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:And, part of it is,
I can't say this all the way on the radio,
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:but RTM read the manual.
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:There's another word that a lot of people
put in there. Oh, okay.
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:Now, see, I get frustrated
because read the manual is like, oh, here,
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:I gave you this itty bitty
like link on there on your phone.
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:I don't want something
that's a link on my phone.
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:I want a piece of paper
that I can pull through.
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:You know, I'm old and rickety
and I like the paper.
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:And going,
oh, look, that's an important part.
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:Yeah, well, I think tiny print and I.
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:I'm going to have a little rant hero
when, got something
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:it was a, cabinet for our,
we're building out
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:and I think your code on the box
get the manual. Okay.
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:The manual is actually great,
but it's restricted from printing.
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:You can only look at it.
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:You cannot print it out.
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:I don't know why, but it's really stupid.
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:A little bit of a frustration.
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:And it's too bad, too,
because the cabinet itself is well made.
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:I think the company is very responsive.
They're local.
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:I assume they're doing this
to try to avoid other people from stealing
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:what's in there.
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:But there's so many ways
you can get around that,
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:which is their store and say,
can you print this out for me?
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:Because I want to be able
to read it. Yeah.
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:And then they might be willing to do.
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:I hadn't thought to ask,
maybe I will, but yeah.
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:Yeah. So all right, next item on the list
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:is robotics automation integrated reality
okay.
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:We now have another term here.
What would that be? Air.
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:No that's aviation.
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:Yeah that's true I just aviation.
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:Yeah.
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:Let's not let's not use a bunch of
jumbled letters that, I don't like that.
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:So robotics and automation
are accelerating capability and adoption.
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:In:
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:became more agile, capable
humanoid industrial robots
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:are increasingly realistic, according to
the press release from the robot company.
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:Now, I do have to say
we're seeing more of this.
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:I have yet, as I'm sitting here today
to see a humanoid
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:robot really function correctly.
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:Have you guys seen anything
that's, like, not comedic?
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:I've seen it.
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:I've seen stuff,
but I'm not sure it's real.
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:I mean, I've seen on Instagram suicide
after a while, but.
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:Yeah.
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:Really?
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:That's, Yeah, it was,
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:it was a robot that was moving packages
and that was its only thing.
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:And eventually
it just reprogramed itself to shut down
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:because it couldn't stand that its life
was just moving packages.
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:Now that
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:seems to support singularity
in AI a little bit.
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:Yeah. Yeah.
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:Why am I here?
And I don't want to be here?
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:You know, boy, that I hadn't heard that.
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:That's an interesting story.
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:Where was that? Jeez, I don't know.
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:It was about six months ago
that I remember that being around.
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:But what do you know?
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:Do you remember what country it was in?
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:I want to say it was America.
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:Really would have been.
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:You're heading into that a little bit.
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:Let's. That's, That's interesting.
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:Like I said, it's kind of dark
now. Literally.
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:You can reprogram it and bring it back
online, but it's still kind of a
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:and something like that,
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:you know, because like we get asked
the question, have we hit singularity?
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:In other words,
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:is I to a point
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:where it can think for itself in a sense
that if the answer to that is yes,
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:we need to rethink a lot of our laws,
because,
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:you know, you're dealing with, well,
essentially a life form at that point.
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:And,
you're starting to see some stability.
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:Yeah, yeah.
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:You know, so another one that is
an interesting term is digital twins.
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:And I was reading through this
and this is defined as high fidelity
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:virtual replicas of physical systems
meaning not real time data.
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:And what this is, is
you're basically create like your factory
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:but in virtual not virtual reality,
but a virtual version of it.
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:And the computer is able to look at that
and compute out different scenarios,
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:look at efficiencies and that type
of thing, monitor everything.
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:And that's what a digital twin is.
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:And this is something
that hasn't been highly reported on.
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:I know in the last year,
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:but it is something that has been kind of
getting into things.
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:So, you know, on a positive
standpoint of this,
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:I think there are a lot of things
you can do.
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:We're going to hit this
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:a little bit in the next section
on what's coming up for this.
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:But it is a term I think we're going
to hear a little bit more this year.
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:All right.
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:On that note, biotech,
healthcare and life science innovation
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::
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:We've seen a lot of service,
surges in biotechnology diagnosis,
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:research tools and so on.
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:And again, quality of life.
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:One of our episodes towards
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:the end of the year, last year,
we were talking about at the technologies,
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:now getting to a point
where they can recreate parts of the AI,
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:and there are other things out there
that are like that that are becoming
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:something
that was going to be pretty standard,
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:limbs, replacement limbs
that were something you kind of hooked on.
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:And they got better and better.
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:Now they have, where they attach
and are cybernetic.
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:They respond to your brain function
just like your arm.
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:What are your leg? What?
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:These type of things
are becoming a reality in:
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:We saw, I think, a bigger surge
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:in that kind of stuff than
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:a lot of other years.
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:So it is one of those things
that use properly
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:this kind of technology
and have a lot of benefit.
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:One of the other things
to do with virtual reality
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:and some of this stuff,
the metaverse did not take off
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:like they expected,
or that we all know that.
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:But some of the effects from that,
like a doctor being able to,
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:perform surgery remotely,
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:is an example of something
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:that has come out
of this kind of technology,
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:a combination of biotech
and robotics and stuff.
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:So if you have something
like a war theater
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:or a remote place
that, specialists couldn't get to,
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:you can get the machinery out there
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:and allow people to have access
to high quality medical care
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:that perhaps they wouldn't
be able to get access to otherwise.
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:So, you know, interesting thing.
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:And just see, these are some of the areas
where we've seen a lot of jumps.
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:I don't know, on the other side of it,
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:thinking about some of the things that
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:you would wonder.
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:I don't you know, we talk a lot
about things like, gaming, video games.
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:I'll just pull that up.
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:I don't know very many new games
this year.
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:Bill, is there something that's like
g deal that you remember from:
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:That just was the game of the year.
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:She's not really.
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:Yeah.
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:I also have noticed through well,
you know.
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:I was seeing less tech
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:as I was doing the no, the news
360
:d the research and throughout:
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:it got to be less and less and less.
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:And it it took more effort to hunt for it.
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:And I had to go outside of the U.S to find
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:evidence of new innovative tech.
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:So, maybe the games
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:maybe they're more
you're seeing more of them overseas.
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:Bill, what do you think?
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:To a
degree, I guess now that I think about it,
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:the game Silksong came out,
that one was pretty big.
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:Broke records, crashed multiple stores,
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:did pretty well that way.
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:But the big name games
that you usually expect
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:did not seem to really do as well.
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:Yeah.
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:I just, you know, I didn't
we didn't well, we had to switch to.
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:But other than that we didn't have any new
consoles and people are buying it.
377
:But I don't think it's the home run.
The Nintendo was hoping for.
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:And you know that one.
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:I still this kind of segue
380
:into our next thing, which is physical
media, is starting to make a comeback.
381
:We've noticed in:the one of the problems with the switch to
382
:is they said, well, we're backward
compatible to the original switches,
383
:which is something you want to do
if you have a new console come out
384
:and you have somebody that has a library
of software for the previous one,
385
:if they're going to be able to run it
386
:on the new one,
they're much more likely to buy it.
387
:Except for one thing,
they didn't include a cartridge slot.
388
:So any of your games from the switch,
one that are on cartridge,
389
:well,
or technically it's backward compatible.
390
:The software is that there's no way
to get it into the other unit, right?
391
:So stuff like that.
392
:What were they thinking?
393
:Nintendo thinks about its bottom line
lately.
394
:That's really the case.
395
:I if you summed it up
better than I was going to actually like
396
:the previous CEO would have been like,
oh no, we have cartridge slot,
397
:we need this and that
because they really thought about gamers,
398
:Nintendo's current CEO
and or do not care about anybody
399
:other than their bottom online.
400
:I mean, if you look at the other two
big players, which is Sony and Microsoft,
401
:the PlayStation,
the Xbox newest versions of those have,
402
:if you want one without a physical media
drive, you can buy it.
403
:I mean, it's available,
but you have the choice.
404
:And I know Microsoft
was thinking about doing the new Xbox,
405
:where it was digital only,
and there was a lot of pushback on that.
406
:Like, you know what?
407
:What are you doing?
408
:And part of it, yeah,
I've kind of done a flip flop.
409
:I'm going to admit to it.
410
:I'll do my politician side
411
:here is I'm kind of getting back
to where I want physical media.
412
:And the reason for that has to do with,
413
:an incident I had with Star Trek
Next Generation and Amazon. Now,
414
:Star Trek is something I like.
415
:I usually, watch it these days.
416
:I think I've memorized
all the scripts at this point,
417
:but it's something I have in the
background when I'm doing other work.
418
:I just want something on
in the background. Right.
419
:So if you have the DVD.
420
:Yeah. What's the disadvantage to that?
421
:Well, you have to have a physical drive
422
:everywhere where you have a television
to be able to use it.
423
:You have some other things like that.
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:But on the positive
425
:note, it's sitting on the shelf
and you can use it anytime you want.
426
:And now I'm not an attorney,
so you know, it's not legal advice,
427
:but my understanding of fair use is
you can rip it and put it
428
:on a media server for your own use,
which is what I do.
429
:And then that way
I kind of have the best of both worlds.
430
:I've got the physical drive.
431
:Well, what of the physical?
432
:Yes, but I also can watch it
433
:streaming on my home
network and things like that with Plex.
434
:So what happened with
this is I was traveling and,
435
:I guess this would have actually been
the end of:
436
:and I wanted to watch Star Trek,
and I've purchased it on Amazon,
437
:which is about the same price
as the DVDs were ended up being.
438
:And, well, this is restricted.
439
:You can't watch it in your current
geographical location.
440
:Oh really? You know,
441
:yeah,
442
:that's kind
of cruddy and it seems like I'm not alone.
443
:It I don't think we're going to be seeing
the record stores reopen or,
444
:you know, cassettes
becoming a prime time thing again,
445
:but there is a desire
to at least have the choice.
446
:Talking about video
games, too, is if you have a disc,
447
:DVD, Blu ray, you know, whatever it is,
depending on the generation of your system
448
:and your time of the game,
you can go to GameStop or sell it on eBay
449
:or something like that.
450
:You cannot do that with digital media.
451
:Now. It's it's there.
452
:It's like,
I don't know Bill, can you reassigned I
453
:if you ever heard of that
454
:because I don't think I have
no you can't resell digital media.
455
:So it
456
:it's and it's no cheaper
I mean I maybe a couple of bucks
457
:sometimes I like it really isn't
that much cheaper than the disc.
458
:And that's that's a big talk.
459
:It's about the cost of games going up
when it's really should be going down.
460
:Yeah, yeah.
461
:They're not having to pay for,
you know, distribution, all the cheating
462
:and all of the shipping and the artwork
and the artists.
463
:Yeah.
464
:I mean, yeah,
465
:if they don't even have to finish
programing it when they start selling it.
466
:Yeah. Because of when you download.
467
:I mean, you know, if in all reality
they don't.
468
:Yeah.
469
:It just goes online.
470
:Oh okay. Well download an update
okay. That's nice.
471
:Well I got the original game.
472
:Now I'm downloading the update.
473
:But I have nothing,
you know, in hand anymore.
474
:And there was something
kind of cool about,
475
:you know, things like album covers
or the boxes that the games came in
476
:or you had the artwork
like you're talking about,
477
:and you know, these type of things
and the smell of opening it,
478
:you know,
which I'm sure is not good for you,
479
:but the off gassing from the new disc
inside and all of that. So.
480
:You know, smells like tumor.
481
:Right? So anyway. Oh.
482
:Oh, man.
483
:Oh my goodness.
484
:Oh. But in all reality there is you know,
part of it certainly is nostalgia.
485
:But the other part of it is,
is having some kind of control.
486
:I know Jeremy used to complain about you.
487
:If you don't have access to the internet,
well, you can still watch a movie.
488
:You know, it's it's kind of cool. Yeah.
489
:I have a huge VCR
and, DVD and Blu ray library.
490
:Yes. If you
491
:and, and you're starting to see this
stuff sell again, I mean, it's available.
492
:You do have to usually mail order it.
493
:There was one store that sold records
494
:and that type of it,
and I'm going to look into it.
495
:That's still open in, Oregon here.
496
:I'm going to check it out
that he has a record store.
497
:So there's some of them still around.
498
:All right.
499
:Well, next segment
500
:we are going to dive into what looks like
it's going to be new in:
501
:What is some fortune telling.
This is user friendly one.
502
:Oh we'll be back after the break.
503
:You see him? He's from the future.
504
:He's got a really big computer
505
:and he uses it uses it every day.
506
:And she uses it in every way.
507
:I see you so you know I know that show
because, you see, uses you guys.
508
:Welcome back.
509
:This is user
friendly 2.0 user friendly dot show
510
:is your one stop for everything
user friendly.
511
:Check it out.
512
:Send us your questions and your comments
as you have been doing.
513
:We have all of our back
episodes tech Wednesday.
514
:How do you even hear us
on your smart speaker?
515
:You want to do that?
516
:So far about 11,000 people have,
which is interesting.
517
:Analytics are wonderful,
518
:but it
is incredible to see how much interaction
519
:we're getting, comments
and all that kind of stuff.
520
:One thing that's a little different
about a show like this
521
:is if you're on, you know, YouTube
522
:or one of these things,
you have regular comments.
523
:We all on the radio,
you don't really have that.
524
:And even the podcasting,
because there's so many different ways
525
:to get to the podcast.
526
:It's like there's not one
central location.
527
:So having that up on the website
has been really cool
528
:because we've gotten
a lot of good questions.
529
:I mean, last year just amazing.
530
:Some of the things that came in.
531
:And we're going to be answering some of
e questions coming up here in:
532
:We doing some of the programing
from there.
533
:So get involved.
534
:User friendly dot show is the place to go.
535
:There's a blue button right on the home
screen of how
536
:to send us your questions
and your comments.
537
:Well,
it's:
538
:what happened in:
539
:So let's become fortune tellers here.
540
:What do you think's
going to happen in:
541
:Now I have my own ideas
and one of them is, is
542
:that I'll finally get that pinball
machine working.
543
:But I don't think that's really what
this is about.
544
:I'm a and I'm a writer,
545
:so I can just really go down a crazy path,
you know what?
546
:I have to do a deep dive in your books
now that they're out
547
:and talk about that a little bit more,
548
:because we've been getting some questions
on that front as well.
549
:But, so when's the movie coming out?
550
:Okay, I don't know.
551
:That's true, Lucas, you know.
552
:Right, right. No.
553
:Go ahead.
554
:All right.
555
:Well, it's, that's go ahead.
556
:On that note, I think I'm still recovering
from the New Year's party a little
557
:bit here.
558
:All right, so item number one on the list
559
:again, like in the first segment,
these are just some things I put together.
560
:This isn't really based on
anything real official other than just,
561
:you know, looking and doing some research
and seeing what's coming up.
562
:And:so I think we're going to see
563
:urther development on that in:
564
:To be the year of software building
itself, AI driven, that kind of thing.
565
:For that, AI native development
platforms will be central,
566
:according to several sources
that are out there.
567
:So you still have a programmer involved,
568
:but the AI is pretty much able
with that to generate, test
569
:and manage code as part of the workflows
is together, at least right now.
570
:Not I'm going to be retiring
to anything like that.
571
:It's because, you know,
that, will be in the job.
572
:But, I don't still don't see
573
:AI putting everybody out of business,
at least not yet.
574
:But it is changing things.
575
:Well, you brought up, jet
suits and flying like that.
576
:Do you think that we will finally get
577
:some kind of Jetson like vehicle
578
:for the regular person
to just stroll around in?
579
:Or do you think that's way
far off in the future?
580
:It's an interesting conversation
because seen, you know, like gravity
581
:jet suit, the fact that these things
are a reality and they work well.
582
:Yeah.
583
:And some of the other things, I mean,
they do have flying cars that are safe
584
:and usable now and that's been tested
in the last year and other things.
585
:So the question becomes, well,
where are we going with that of,
586
:you know, flying
car, flying busses, things like that?
587
:One of the barriers
588
:to entry on
this is the fact that it affects
589
:other things that you wouldn't
normally think about.
590
:One of the things on the jet suit
that's a concern from,
591
:you know, outside people is that it
renders any fenced off
592
:area the security of that
not really all that good anymore.
593
:You could fly over the fence
around the airport or whatever.
594
:You can do that with that copter.
595
:You can do that with a helicopter,
but it is a whole lot easier
596
:in a smaller device.
597
:Yeah, whether it's a cat suit
or even the flying car.
598
:That's not a helicopter.
599
:Now, you're talking about general adoption
of these things,
600
:because that's
when that would really become a thing.
601
:If everybody owned a helicopter,
then yeah, it would be an issue.
602
:But everybody owning a
helicopter is not affordable.
603
:It will someday be affordable
to have a jet suit,
604
:and it will someday be affordable to have
a, flying car, which is one of the other
605
:barriers to entry is the cost.
606
:But that is coming down, you know,
and we're seeing that type of a thing.
607
:So where is that going to go?
608
:You know, very, person
I work with, genius
609
:made the comment that, you know,
we want to use current modern aviation.
610
:Well, what do you consider old fashioned?
611
:You know, Aero aerial planes, right.
612
:Why do you think that
requires a runway? Oh, okay.
613
:You know, and
614
:I I've, I've heard you
mention his response on that.
615
:And I think we're probably going
to keep a certain amount
616
:of the runway vehicles because of the,
the logistics of carrying large,
617
:heavy objects, really requires
those big jets. Yes.
618
:And I think maybe the, the smaller
or personal,
619
:vehicles could be the type
that don't require runway.
620
:What do you guys think?
621
:Yeah. No, I think that's very true.
622
:And and that's tongue in cheek, of course.
623
:But, you're dealing with technologies
coming together.
624
:And one of the other things
too, is things like range.
625
:Just like now you can drive your car
to, you know, not overseas or anything,
626
:but you can drive your car
to any destination in the continental
627
:or landmass that you're in,
and you can fly to any destination.
628
:Flying will be faster,
which is why you do it.
629
:And I think
we're going to see the same thing.
630
:The jet suit has a limited range,
so it is a flying car.
631
:So the you know.
632
:747 730
I won't make some 40 sevens anymore.
633
:737 Max, you know, these kind of things
are the air busses that are modern
634
:will still accomplish that, at least
for the foreseeable future, in my opinion.
635
:Where you're bringing, you know,
a group of people like normal passengers
636
:and certainly, like you say, cargo
package delivery, although we are starting
637
:to see technology and it's not that new,
but it's starting to get to a point
638
:where it's actually usable, like Amazon
using drones to deliver packages,
639
:that kind of a thing.
640
:And I'm hearing
641
:that we're going to actually see that
in production this year as a prototype.
642
:Really.
643
:Okay, I, I'm wondering
when we're going to see
644
:like the characters in my books,
for the cyber hot books, that is.
645
:Yeah.
646
:When will we have emergency responders
like my characters?
647
:In London, there is an
648
:at least one person that I know of that
I've met that uses
649
:that sometimes training on it to be able
to respond to emergency situations
650
:and get there a lot faster.
651
:So when will that happen?
652
:Well, I in some ways it already has.
653
:Now your characters have full
exoskeletons,
654
:cyber suits as they're called in the books
and something like that.
655
:We have the technology to do that
right now.
656
:The Japanese have developed,
you know, brain computer interfaces.
657
:We have some of that in this country
to be able to operate these things.
658
:We're already seeing cybernetics
for replacement limbs
659
:and other things that are in general use,
660
:which is another thing
I think that's going to really
661
:come into its own this year.
662
:But these type of things are not science
fiction anymore.
663
:So it comes down to cost, availability of
parts, the ability to manufacture things.
664
:All of that plays into it.
665
:But the question, you know,
at the end of the day with that is
666
:what are some of the things that,
you know, you might not really think about
667
:and not talking about,
you know, science fiction and stuff?
668
:I'll ask a question what is a real cyborg?
669
:You can access the internet
like you would over your phone.
670
:Mentally,
671
:you can operate augments, which we already
have the technology to do that.
672
:Some of these things.
673
:Okay. So what does that change?
674
:You go in and take an exam.
675
:Well, you don't have to study for it
because you can just worry, right?
676
:Is that bad? No,
because it's part of who you are.
677
:If you're that so, you know, at the end
of the day, a lot of these questions
678
:that were just interesting things
to think about the movie are no longer
679
:their reality,
you know, and going in that direction.
680
:It's going to be interesting to see
681
:what the adoption of these things
is to you're going to have a certain
682
:because you do now, people
that want to stay, you know,
683
:and interact in the way that they do,
they're comfortable with it.
684
:There's people that are going to be
scared of things, at least initially.
685
:All of that is the reality of it.
686
:So but the reason I say it's
kind of a weird question in a way,
687
:is because
688
:what you're talking about is not so much
do we need to invent all of this?
689
:A few things here, but most of it's there.
690
:It's more
what will it take to actually adopt it?
691
:And I think that's more of the question
in a lot of these things, you know, so,
692
:do you know, do humans need to learn
how to work better together?
693
:You know, do
we need a walk partner technology?
694
:That's just should be something
that happens that's about are.
695
:Yeah, I know, but it just seems like
696
:some of the mindsets that are necessary
697
:are a more co-operative, culture
as opposed to one.
698
:That's very selfish.
699
:Yeah, yeah.
700
:So a collective support
group of some kind.
701
:Yeah. I mean,
you know, it's going to be interesting.
702
:Things are changing
703
:and it's going to be up to us
whether that's going to be a good change.
704
:We enhance quality of life.
705
:And you know people can start to work out
a little bit
706
:more like you're talking about.
707
:Or we have, you know,
like what's in and our cyberpunk,
708
:which is where we don't want to go,
at least in my opinion.
709
:Hopefully
we don't want to go there. Right. So it's.
710
:I mean, I'm a nice bonsai tree.
711
:That's fine. But.
712
:But anyway, so yeah, it's
713
:you know, it's going to be interesting
to see where those goes.
714
:I don't think we're going to see full
fledged cyborgs or people using jet
715
:seeds this year, but
I do think we'll see it in our lifetime.
716
:And I do think it's not that far out.
717
:So, you know, I also keep seeing,
718
:videos on like, Instagram,
719
:of these robots that look real.
720
:And I haven't quite figured out
whether this is, like, fake, like,
721
:made up stuff, you know, just to look cool
or if they're real.
722
:What do you think about robots that have,
723
:better mobility
724
:with, more cognitive abilities?
725
:Are we going to see something like
that in a package together?
726
:First of all, I think
727
:that description is moving
more like an android than a robot.
728
:Really?
729
:Yeah. Okay.
730
:If we don't want to. Yeah. Like.
731
:Oh, yeah, I driven since, C-3po and R2d2,
I would say those are androids.
732
:They think, and they do things.
733
:So. Okay,
when are we going to see stuff like that?
734
:Well, we already are.
735
:Are we?
736
:Yes. I was going to say the same thing.
Yeah.
737
:Go ahead with that because. Yeah.
738
:Well there are some robots that they have
that are being trained.
739
:You can train yourself
actually if you purchase a
740
:that are doing house
741
:chores, things
like that, that, need help,
742
:there's ones that are helping elderly,
743
:I believe in China.
744
:There's really a lot that's developing,
745
:and it's just a matter of time before it's
really perfected and becomes marketable.
746
:You know, if you
talk about in the Asian countries, there's
747
:a lot more adoption of this early adoption
of what you're talking about.
748
:There are places
where you need to go to the hospital.
749
:The staff checks you in are androids,
robots, whatever you want to call them.
750
:Look, humanoid.
751
:They do the paperwork,
you communicate with them, you get in,
752
:you know, and all that kind of stuff.
753
:It's turning out
to be a lot more efficient,
754
:some ways to be able to do that,
because what it's doing is it's releasing
755
:the caregivers, like our doctors
and nurses, to be able to do their job
756
:and not do paperwork or sit at the counter
somewhere.
757
:You know,
there's a certain amount of the population
758
:that is creeped out by that,
759
:although it's becoming a little bit
more normalized now.
760
:But it is interesting
to see where that goes now.
761
:True AI driven robots.
762
:Interesting thing. Last year I built one
763
:and I call it chat doc
764
:and Gretchen, you've seen them
and it was a proof of concept
765
:and I was doing for a previous employer,
and it's basically a little dog.
766
:It's shaped like a dog.
767
:It walks around on four legs and,
you know, is shaped that way.
768
:And it's connected to ChatGPT.
769
:And ChatGPT has control
the microcontroller in it,
770
:be able to operate it so you can talk
and it talks back to you.
771
:A normal conversational,
you know, methodology.
772
:There's all that kind of stuff.
773
:It follows you around it,
you know. So it's interesting.
774
:Now, this isn't humanoid,
but it's still something along that idea
775
:and that existed.
776
:It already does.
777
:I didn't get to see him.
778
:Oh, actually behind me.
779
:Oh, is he actually running?
780
:The last time I saw him,
he was not functioning.
781
:So it was in the development stage.
782
:Yeah. Well, yeah,
I was about six months ago now.
783
:He is running now and he works.
784
:And, is, fully operational.
785
:I mean, you know,
and the thing of it is, is it's kind of
786
:in some ways creepy.
787
:I think it's kind of cool. But,
you know, you're right.
788
:I saw something that was an advertisement
789
:and I thought, that's probably nonsense.
790
:They're trying to get us to buy things
for the Christmas season.
791
:So, you know,
I kind of like, push that aside.
792
:But the idea was cool.
793
:It was like a little toy dog
for, like a companion for a senior.
794
:Yeah. Are these things real?
795
:Yeah. So there are real.
796
:Oh, really?
797
:Oh, that's kind of cool kind of thing.
798
:And not only are they real, it's solving
some problems of seniors, especially
799
:a lot of times end up in a situation
where they're by themselves.
800
:And, these kind of devices are making
801
:a huge difference with mental, you know,
802
:what is it like depression,
you know, kind of thing.
803
:And, and Canyon channel loneliness.
804
:Yeah.
805
:So where do these things will it.
806
:Oh look expensive now although on
some of these things specifically what
807
:you just mentioned, insurance is starting
to cover them in certain situations.
808
:Well,
so do you think this year we're going
809
:to see more of these companion,
robotic pets?
810
:Oh, yeah. More than likely.
811
:Yeah.
812
:I wouldn't be a bit surprised.
813
:And, you know, again,
it's going to be all about adoption.
814
:Yeah.
815
:A couple of years ago,
Facebook changed our name to metal
816
:because the metaverse
was going to be a thing.
817
:And it's not that the technology wasn't
there, just people didn't do it.
818
:So the question more is, are people
going to buy robotic dogs?
819
:Well, that will really be what will tell
820
:if it's proven or not and how popular
something like that becomes.
821
:But the biped robot line,
822
:especially in places
where you work at hype
823
:places like warehouses and things,
they're very beneficial in that.
824
:And yes, you know, it comes out, oh Bill.
825
:Well, you can just,
826
:you know, with the machinery,
build something that's more efficient.
827
:All well,
maybe not all 99% of our infrastructure
828
:in these kind of things is designed
for a human to be able to operate with.
829
:So if you have a device
that can go in there and do the same job,
830
:that can fit into the same requirements
that the human did,
831
:there's a lot of use
for something like that.
832
:And even in some ways,
whether it's sentient
833
:or whether it's a robot on the floor
that a human is controlling remotely,
834
:you're still saving your back.
835
:You're still saving your injury.
836
:You're not going to fall off
of the robot falls off of height.
837
:You just you don't have a human
in the hospital, you know?
838
:So there's a lot of arguments in favor
for stuff like that.
839
:And today, right now, we can do that.
840
:You know, the whole idea of,
you know, a fully sentient robot,
841
:you know, there are schools of thought
that say we're there there are schools of
842
:thought that say we're not.
843
:And I think a good argument can be made
either way on that side of the equation.
844
:But, but yeah.
845
:So, you know, we're looking at that
next item on the list too,
846
:which I think is interesting.
847
:And now I like the stuff
a lot of people don't.
848
:I understand that, but is intelligent
connected infrastructure.
849
:This is like your smart homes
and intelligent.
850
:Everything.
851
:I think it's really cool to be able
to walk into your house and think, I mean,
852
:you know, say turn on the lights
and all that kind of stuff,
853
:and it does,
but it's going a step further.
854
:I mean, we've had that for a long time,
but there's things now like,
855
:if I go to bed at night,
856
:forget to lock the door
and turn the lights out,
857
:the computer will figure out
that I went to bed and do it for me.
858
:So the door's not sitting unlocked
all night.
859
:You know, that kind of a thing?
860
:If I'm in the house and someone drives
my car away,
861
:there's actually systems in place
that say, hey, it's 2:00 in the morning.
862
:Do you know someone in your car?
863
:That kind of stuff. Right.
864
:So that's the connected they now step
beyond this is we're starting to see
865
:some of the cybernetics is being used
for mainly things like limb implants.
866
:They're also connected.
867
:Now I'm not quite sure what that's about,
but I mean it can be kind of cool.
868
:I just don't give me a bad software
update on my knee.
869
:That could be bad.
870
:So I.
871
:So, you know,
872
:and along those lines,
we've talked about quantum computing.
873
:We just talked about it
in the other segment.
874
:I think we're going to see our quantum
safe infrastructures coming out this year.
875
:And what that means is,
is this technology is here.
876
:So we're going to see encryption,
cryptography, all these type of things
877
:advanced to a level
where it is safe with quantum computers.
878
:But the day of a username and password
that could end the year,
879
:depending on how far that gets it already
more or less it.
880
:And you have a, you know, device to
authenticate now or something like that.
881
:Service
password does help with the hacking.
882
:You know, multifactor
883
:authentication is a good bandaid, but
it doesn't completely solve the problem.
884
:But it's better than not by a lot.
885
:But going in a direction where you,
you know, have something where you can
886
:definitely, without
887
:any question, confirm who you are.
888
:And I don't know if I would go
as far as to say it can't be hacked,
889
:but it becomes much more difficult,
like a lot more difficult.
890
:So now one of the other things,
891
:and this is something that is going to be
it's not a new technology,
892
:but we talked a little bit in:about surveillance.
893
:And one of the things is a company called
lockers, things called lock cameras.
894
:And this has been in the news.
895
:I won't get into politics of it,
but basically what they are is a lot of,
896
:cities and different things like,
have these around.
897
:They're on phone poles and traffic lights
and so on, and everything is monitored
898
:and so if a car stolen,
they can go into the system using
899
:AI and probably find the car.
900
:The ring
901
:doorbells and all that stuff are now
part of those systems to.
902
:I don't even think you can opt out of that
off the law.
903
:But in any event,
surveillance is getting a little bit.
904
:And a lot of,
schools of thought out of control now
905
:because everything is watched, you know,
906
:and along those lines
is things like telematics in your car,
907
:BMW had their big thing with the
908
:you have to pay have a subscription
for your heated seats.
909
:That's a true story.
910
:And we're seeing cars
trying to make it like your phone
911
:where you buy apps for everything
and all that kind of stuff.
912
:But most modern new cars,
913
:they can track where you are.
914
:The hardware is in the car.
915
:It's not like something
you would add on to it anymore.
916
:Is that safe?
917
:Is that something we want?
918
:A lot of people say no.
919
:So it's an area where reining
in technology is going to be important.
920
:You want to use it in the right way,
and using it in the right way
921
:creates a situation where you're improving
quality of life and efficiency
922
:and you know, the world around you.
923
:It can go that direction,
but it can go the other way, too.
924
:And somebody said,
you know, with the advent of the internet,
925
:especially with the web as it is
now, not so much 1.0, but the videos
926
:and all these things like we have now,
927
:personal privacy
is a completely different thing.
928
:I don't think it should be,
929
:but that's my opinion, you know?
930
:So we want to expect to be observed
every time you walk out the front door.
931
:But think about it.
932
:You walk down,
go for a walk from your house,
933
:you got ring
doorbells and I pick it on ring.
934
:But any, you know, surveillance
doorbells and cameras
935
:and all that kind of stuff
that's now being sent to a central place
936
:where I can scrutinize it,
937
:you know.
938
:Is that a good.
939
:So, so, but I also have this question,
940
:if you're surveilling it and watching it,
are you taking the responsibility
941
:that if you see someone hurt,
942
:are you going to send help?
943
:Well, I don't I would still do that
whether or not I know I'm on camera.
944
:But the thing is, is whoever's
watching and surveilling,
945
:are they going to send help?
946
:Who who is watching?
And that's my question.
947
:Are you going to take responsibility
for your ability to watch everybody?
948
:Are you going to send help?
949
:And that's a that's a good question.
950
:I mean, you know, I,
I don't think there's rules
951
:that you have to
I don't know, I'm not an attorney.
952
:And the interesting
if someone is to answer that.
953
:But what it comes down to,
and this is an example I've used in
954
:the past, is really
955
:technology should be augmentation
not replacement of common sense.
956
:And it's like
957
:the idea of the backup camera in your car,
a very good piece of technology.
958
:It makes it a lot safer
until you don't use the mirrors anymore.
959
:Yeah.
960
:You know.
961
:Yeah I still do all this physically
behind me turn my head against you.
962
:But there's a lot of people that don't
I mean you know with now
963
:we've have learned obviously that real
autonomous driving is not quite here yet.
964
:But there was a case that came out
that was on the news that the police
965
:couldn't get a Tesla to stop
when the driver was asleep.
966
:Now, explain that to me,
967
:because the car is supposed to be
968
:monitoring that you're able
to control the car if you need to.
969
:That's like, how did that happen?
970
:Right.
971
:Yeah.
972
:So anyway.
973
:But yeah, it's it's a good question.
974
:And these are some things that go beyond
just is the technology there to do it.
975
:The more of a step.
976
:What are the, you know, ethics of it.
977
:What is the moral of a subject.
978
:And we do need to be
thinking about these things.
979
:If we really
980
:do hit singularity and have sentient AI,
981
:that's a living being
because they can think for themselves,
982
:I'm sure there's going to be people
that would argue with that,
983
:but I don't know how you would
because we're a machine.
984
:Yep. Different.
985
:I mean, the human body is a machine.
986
:And as time goes by there,
the line between that
987
:and machines, what we think of machines
is very much blurring.
988
:So what happens when the AI calls
989
:you and goes,
who am I and what am I doing here?
990
:You know, yeah, yeah. What's my purpose?
991
:Yeah.
992
:So you get that phone call
and it's like, okay,
993
:you know, things have changed.
994
:And could that happen
this year? It's very possible.
995
:I wouldn't rule it out.
996
:Moore's law,
you know the number of transistors on
997
:electronic devices
will double every two years.
998
:So far
we've been holding pretty true to that,
999
:even though a lot of people
didn't think we would.
::
And we're at a point right now where it's
like the analogy I've given this before,
::
you start with a penny doubling every day
for 30 days, and you're a millionaire.
::
That's just how the math works.
::
And you get to a point where
::
the computer will be able to think,
you know, I can't do that, Dave.
::
We need to make sure we don't go there,
and we need to make sure
::
we don't go there.
::
And if we do,
the potential is very bright.
::
You know, if we're talking negative here,
there is the other side of that coin.
::
That done right, it's
going to change things in a way that can
::
eliminate hunger, eliminate,
::
you know, a lot of the things
that we're dealing with now
::
and make things efficient and make things
a lot easier to work with, but
::
it's going to be
we're at a fork in the road,
::
and it's going to be interesting
to see which direction we go.
::
All right.
::
So in the last little bit here
we have a great season coming up for you.
::
It is season eight and it is our I think
we're going to do our 14th year now.
::
Absolutely amazing.
::
It's you guys that have created this.
::
We love getting the feedback again.
::
User friendly knows where to send it.
::
Until next week.
::
This is user friendly 2.0 keeping
you safe on the cutting edge.
::
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::
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::
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::
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::
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