Join us for our observations about last year and the year to come.

Hosts: William Sikkens, Bill Snodgrass, and Gretchen Winkler

Transcript
Speaker:

Welcome to

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User Friendly 2.0 with Host Bill Sikkens,

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technology architect.

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And this is User Friendly

2.0 here in the New Year.

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Bill. Gretchen

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:welcome to:

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Yay! Hello.

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World.

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Yeah, I would be much more on that

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when they dropped the

whatever they dropped this year.

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So you know.

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So anyway, so yeah

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We are starting out in the new year

and it's the third.

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So I'm sure, you know, 90% of us

have already dropped the resolutions.

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Yeah.

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You know, I depends on

how they make their solutions.

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Yeah, I don't

I don't do that anymore either.

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It's,

I never did old tradition, you know, but

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we have seen a lot of changes

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in tech last year,

and a lot are coming up this year.

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So we thought we'd do a little bit

rent for the first episode of:

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Take a look back on our first segment

at:

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you know, what is actually happened.

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And then in our second segment,

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So this is a list that I put together.

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I don't know if this has any,

any particular order

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of some of the things that I remember.

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And we're just going to kind of have

a candid conversation about the first one

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is generative AI.

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Now, obviously, this has been something

that's been all over the place.

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not just as a tool,

but as a core enabler across industries.

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And we're seeing this in basically

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everything

you're looking at from chat box.

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You know, giving out right

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wrong information is maybe not

come into its own yet to other things.

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Now on to positive things like ChatGPT

and all of that

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have really gotten better.

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I know it's a program

where it's actually useful.

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And, Gretchen, you've been working with

AI for editing, not writing,

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but editing, you know,

and that kind of thing. Anything.

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And, Bill,

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I know you want to just delete all the

AI and go back to where we were. So.

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So, you know, new technologies are great,

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but sometimes I think they're dropped

into things a little bit too fast.

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Story that's interesting on

this comes out of New York and the city.

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It was one of the boroughs

had an AI chat bot

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where you would go on to the website

to find out, you know, like about building

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permits and hiring codes

and all that kind of stuff.

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And it was giving flat out

wrong information.

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So the question

that, you know, comes out of that is

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this is information that's being provided

by an official website of the government

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website says that you can go

by the information that's on there.

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But if you're asking the do

I need a building permit to,

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you know, tear down my house

and build a new one?

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It says, no, you don't.

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Just let us know afterwards.

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So is that really the AI's fault

or the human

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that gave it the inaccurate information?

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Well, if it was really an AI that

they were using, they're saying it is.

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I did a little research into this,

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and I think that is the problem with this

specific one large language model.

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It probably would be a lot more accurate.

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And they are in this case,

it's like they just gave it.

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So it's a weird way of doing it.

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I've heard of this before

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is you're typing the system that they have

is trying to guess the next word.

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That would be appropriate.

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And that's how it works.

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So obviously

that's not going to be two things.

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And they test it out too

and ask that the same question five times.

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And got a different answer

for all five questions.

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You know.

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So it's it's not an idea.

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Yeah.

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That's predictive

text like on your cell phone.

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That was really annoying.

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It still is.

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So yeah.

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So no no no that's I don't consider that

really I that's that's not useful.

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Yeah.

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And you but the thing of it is, is again

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you have something under that auspice

that is really giving out

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incorrect information

and it can become a problem.

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I'd love to talk to a lawyer

and see what the legal angle is on this.

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If I even told something by the chat bot,

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I'm told to go to on a city's website.

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That is information

coming from this official site,

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and then I get in trouble for it later.

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I mean, how would that work? Really?

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Yeah.

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It's, you know, one of those things,

I guess it'll have to be figured

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out, but, Yeah.

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So, I don't know what we'll talk about

where I is going in the next segment here,

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but we definitely are seeing it attached

to everything of your operating systems

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on your computers.

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Now, your word, all of that kind of stuff.

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Your phone, any search engine you use,

there are some that still don't,

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but it's kind of really gotten

into the majority of things.

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And it's actually to a point now

that you're in the tech industry and you,

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apply for certain jobs and haven't used

AI, you simply won't qualify.

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So, you know, it's it's definitely not,

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something that's optional

on certain things either.

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But, I want to see where we end up.

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I, I saw a documentary, over the holidays

about this and where this is going.

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It's called Terminator.

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Right.

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Now, next one that we saw last year,

which was it was out there,

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but it wasn't quite as on top of things

as AI is quantum computing.

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And quantum level technology

moving towards real world use.

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So we're going to do a show

on this this year

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because we've had a lot of questions

come in.

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And it's one of those things

that is too hard to like.

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Answer in five minutes.

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It will require a deep dive to get into.

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But the thing of it is, is we are seeing,

where this is.

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The UN has said that it's, converted

from future promise to early impact.

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So that means that, you know, it's here

and it's very early forms

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and in its very early forms,

it's already showing us a lot of things

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where on computing capability,

it's faster.

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And that's like the understatement

of the year already.

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Three days and, it can crack

codes, encryption, all that kind of stuff

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is going to have to be changed

very quickly.

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The whole idea of using passwords

for things has been obsolete,

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but it's really going to become obsolete.

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But on a positive side,

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it can analyze things

and like the medical arena,

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buying things that a doctor wouldn't

see right away, be able to,

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you know, do

a lot of stuff that is going to be,

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well, earth shattering in

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some ways especially, it's just coming

online and we're seeing a little bit more.

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And like I say, we'll deep dive into this.

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We've got a lot of questions about this

in the past year, but it is definitely

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something that I think, you know, is here.

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What do you guys think about quantum

computing?

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I'm just, you know, kind of off the cuff.

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But,

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I don't

I think I don't have enough information

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to really give an intelligent,

thoughtful response.

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So, you know, sometimes it's better

just to,

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you know, observe and keep quiet.

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One of the one of the most interesting

things from our listener

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feedback that I've seen on

this question is you have to send in

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and you take an average on

this is one of the most like nine

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on the comments we've had on it,

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is that the quantum computers

look like a chandelier.

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I mean, it's something out of cyberpunk,

but it is something

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that you could technically

say looks like a chandelier.

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If you don't know what we're talking about

next time you're online, Google it.

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You know, look up Quantum Computer

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and see some of the pictures

because they are it just brings up

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all kinds of questions as to

why is it that way?

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It looks like an upside down tomato plant.

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You know, it's hanging down.

You know what?

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Why is it that way?

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What's it doing?

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Does it why does it need to be that way?

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So I have lots of questions.

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So but I don't I don't know the value,

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the true value of this type of machine

and what it can do.

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Yeah.

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So and like I say

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we're going to deep dive into this is,

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is why this you know okay it'll crack

passwords.

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That's nice.

But why is it really important.

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And the other question

is where I'm going to answer is,

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why does it look like the way it looks?

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Because there is a there is

a specific reason for it, with a design.

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So we'll be diving into that

a little later this year.

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But, definitely

something that we've heard about.

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And, you know, we've said in the past

the stuff that was completely science

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fiction ten years ago is now we can buy

out of the store in a lot of cases.

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So why not this?

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And actually, I think it's going to do

more good than bad, by a lot.

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It's not a negative technology

by any means,

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but it is something that's going to change

a lot of things. So.

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All right, what are the other things

that:

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upgrading energy

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and material innovations,

dealing with things like batteries,

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the structural batteries, other things

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like that, allowing for electric storage.

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I thing for energy shifting.

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And I know right now

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we're still trying to get that working

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on year round, but,

you have a basic version of this

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with a battery backup

that you have on your refrigerator.

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Yeah.

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And you're on an energy program

where power is cheaper at night.

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Like a lot cheaper than it is

during prime time.

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And the reason they're doing that

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is to try to get people to not do stuff

unless it's absolutely necessary.

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When it's hot in the summer

and you're going to overload the grid

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if you're not careful.

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So what this device does is, is

how's the time set?

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And I think, what

what is your prime time? 5 to 9.

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The expensive time is from 5 to 9.

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Yeah, right. I try not to do anything.

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No dishwashers, washing machines, dryers.

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You know, I try to avoid those things.

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Yeah, exactly.

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You know, and so, I'm 5:00, you know,

the power goes up.

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So what this does is you program

it and it's got a battery in it.

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It's meant for power failures, primarily,

but at 5:00, it disconnects itself

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from the grid

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and powers the device, in this case,

a refrigerator off of the batteries.

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So basically it's energy shifting.

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And then at 9:00,

when that goes on, it kicks back in.

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At least in theory.

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We haven't been able to completely

get it to work yet. No we haven't.

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We weren't able to get it to work.

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But we will. We will, and I hope so again.

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And, at 9:00 starts

recharging the battery.

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And, just in answer to that,

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I have figured out what we were doing

wrong.

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And, part of it is,

I can't say this all the way on the radio,

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but RTM read the manual.

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There's another word that a lot of people

put in there. Oh, okay.

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Now, see, I get frustrated

because read the manual is like, oh, here,

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I gave you this itty bitty

like link on there on your phone.

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I don't want something

that's a link on my phone.

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I want a piece of paper

that I can pull through.

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You know, I'm old and rickety

and I like the paper.

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And going,

oh, look, that's an important part.

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Yeah, well, I think tiny print and I.

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I'm going to have a little rant hero

when, got something

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it was a, cabinet for our,

we're building out

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and I think your code on the box

get the manual. Okay.

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The manual is actually great,

but it's restricted from printing.

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You can only look at it.

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You cannot print it out.

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I don't know why, but it's really stupid.

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A little bit of a frustration.

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And it's too bad, too,

because the cabinet itself is well made.

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I think the company is very responsive.

They're local.

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I assume they're doing this

to try to avoid other people from stealing

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what's in there.

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But there's so many ways

you can get around that,

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which is their store and say,

can you print this out for me?

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Because I want to be able

to read it. Yeah.

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And then they might be willing to do.

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I hadn't thought to ask,

maybe I will, but yeah.

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Yeah. So all right, next item on the list

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is robotics automation integrated reality

okay.

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We now have another term here.

What would that be? Air.

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No that's aviation.

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Yeah that's true I just aviation.

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Yeah.

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Let's not let's not use a bunch of

jumbled letters that, I don't like that.

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So robotics and automation

are accelerating capability and adoption.

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became more agile, capable

humanoid industrial robots

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are increasingly realistic, according to

the press release from the robot company.

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Now, I do have to say

we're seeing more of this.

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I have yet, as I'm sitting here today

to see a humanoid

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robot really function correctly.

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Have you guys seen anything

that's, like, not comedic?

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I've seen it.

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I've seen stuff,

but I'm not sure it's real.

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I mean, I've seen on Instagram suicide

after a while, but.

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Yeah.

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Really?

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That's, Yeah, it was,

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it was a robot that was moving packages

and that was its only thing.

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And eventually

it just reprogramed itself to shut down

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because it couldn't stand that its life

was just moving packages.

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Now that

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seems to support singularity

in AI a little bit.

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Yeah. Yeah.

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Why am I here?

And I don't want to be here?

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You know, boy, that I hadn't heard that.

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That's an interesting story.

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Where was that? Jeez, I don't know.

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It was about six months ago

that I remember that being around.

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But what do you know?

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Do you remember what country it was in?

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I want to say it was America.

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Really would have been.

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You're heading into that a little bit.

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Let's. That's, That's interesting.

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Like I said, it's kind of dark

now. Literally.

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You can reprogram it and bring it back

online, but it's still kind of a

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and something like that,

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you know, because like we get asked

the question, have we hit singularity?

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In other words,

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is I to a point

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where it can think for itself in a sense

that if the answer to that is yes,

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we need to rethink a lot of our laws,

because,

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you know, you're dealing with, well,

essentially a life form at that point.

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And,

you're starting to see some stability.

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Yeah, yeah.

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You know, so another one that is

an interesting term is digital twins.

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And I was reading through this

and this is defined as high fidelity

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virtual replicas of physical systems

meaning not real time data.

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And what this is, is

you're basically create like your factory

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but in virtual not virtual reality,

but a virtual version of it.

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And the computer is able to look at that

and compute out different scenarios,

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look at efficiencies and that type

of thing, monitor everything.

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And that's what a digital twin is.

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And this is something

that hasn't been highly reported on.

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I know in the last year,

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but it is something that has been kind of

getting into things.

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So, you know, on a positive

standpoint of this,

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I think there are a lot of things

you can do.

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We're going to hit this

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a little bit in the next section

on what's coming up for this.

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But it is a term I think we're going

to hear a little bit more this year.

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All right.

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On that note, biotech,

healthcare and life science innovation

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We've seen a lot of service,

surges in biotechnology diagnosis,

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research tools and so on.

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And again, quality of life.

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One of our episodes towards

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the end of the year, last year,

we were talking about at the technologies,

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now getting to a point

where they can recreate parts of the AI,

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and there are other things out there

that are like that that are becoming

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something

that was going to be pretty standard,

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limbs, replacement limbs

that were something you kind of hooked on.

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And they got better and better.

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Now they have, where they attach

and are cybernetic.

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They respond to your brain function

just like your arm.

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What are your leg? What?

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These type of things

are becoming a reality in:

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We saw, I think, a bigger surge

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in that kind of stuff than

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a lot of other years.

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So it is one of those things

that use properly

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this kind of technology

and have a lot of benefit.

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One of the other things

to do with virtual reality

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and some of this stuff,

the metaverse did not take off

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like they expected,

or that we all know that.

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But some of the effects from that,

like a doctor being able to,

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perform surgery remotely,

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is an example of something

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that has come out

of this kind of technology,

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a combination of biotech

and robotics and stuff.

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So if you have something

like a war theater

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or a remote place

that, specialists couldn't get to,

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you can get the machinery out there

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and allow people to have access

to high quality medical care

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that perhaps they wouldn't

be able to get access to otherwise.

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So, you know, interesting thing.

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And just see, these are some of the areas

where we've seen a lot of jumps.

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I don't know, on the other side of it,

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thinking about some of the things that

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you would wonder.

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I don't you know, we talk a lot

about things like, gaming, video games.

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I'll just pull that up.

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I don't know very many new games

this year.

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Bill, is there something that's like

g deal that you remember from:

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That just was the game of the year.

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She's not really.

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Yeah.

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I also have noticed through well,

you know.

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I was seeing less tech

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as I was doing the no, the news

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it got to be less and less and less.

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And it it took more effort to hunt for it.

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And I had to go outside of the U.S to find

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evidence of new innovative tech.

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So, maybe the games

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maybe they're more

you're seeing more of them overseas.

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Bill, what do you think?

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To a

degree, I guess now that I think about it,

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the game Silksong came out,

that one was pretty big.

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Broke records, crashed multiple stores,

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did pretty well that way.

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But the big name games

that you usually expect

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did not seem to really do as well.

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Yeah.

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I just, you know, I didn't

we didn't well, we had to switch to.

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But other than that we didn't have any new

consoles and people are buying it.

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But I don't think it's the home run.

The Nintendo was hoping for.

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And you know that one.

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I still this kind of segue

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into our next thing, which is physical

media, is starting to make a comeback.

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the one of the problems with the switch to

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is they said, well, we're backward

compatible to the original switches,

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which is something you want to do

if you have a new console come out

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and you have somebody that has a library

of software for the previous one,

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if they're going to be able to run it

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on the new one,

they're much more likely to buy it.

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Except for one thing,

they didn't include a cartridge slot.

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So any of your games from the switch,

one that are on cartridge,

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well,

or technically it's backward compatible.

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The software is that there's no way

to get it into the other unit, right?

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So stuff like that.

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What were they thinking?

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Nintendo thinks about its bottom line

lately.

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That's really the case.

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I if you summed it up

better than I was going to actually like

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the previous CEO would have been like,

oh no, we have cartridge slot,

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we need this and that

because they really thought about gamers,

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Nintendo's current CEO

and or do not care about anybody

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other than their bottom online.

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I mean, if you look at the other two

big players, which is Sony and Microsoft,

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the PlayStation,

the Xbox newest versions of those have,

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if you want one without a physical media

drive, you can buy it.

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I mean, it's available,

but you have the choice.

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And I know Microsoft

was thinking about doing the new Xbox,

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where it was digital only,

and there was a lot of pushback on that.

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Like, you know what?

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What are you doing?

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And part of it, yeah,

I've kind of done a flip flop.

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I'm going to admit to it.

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I'll do my politician side

411

:

here is I'm kind of getting back

to where I want physical media.

412

:

And the reason for that has to do with,

413

:

an incident I had with Star Trek

Next Generation and Amazon. Now,

414

:

Star Trek is something I like.

415

:

I usually, watch it these days.

416

:

I think I've memorized

all the scripts at this point,

417

:

but it's something I have in the

background when I'm doing other work.

418

:

I just want something on

in the background. Right.

419

:

So if you have the DVD.

420

:

Yeah. What's the disadvantage to that?

421

:

Well, you have to have a physical drive

422

:

everywhere where you have a television

to be able to use it.

423

:

You have some other things like that.

424

:

But on the positive

425

:

note, it's sitting on the shelf

and you can use it anytime you want.

426

:

And now I'm not an attorney,

so you know, it's not legal advice,

427

:

but my understanding of fair use is

you can rip it and put it

428

:

on a media server for your own use,

which is what I do.

429

:

And then that way

I kind of have the best of both worlds.

430

:

I've got the physical drive.

431

:

Well, what of the physical?

432

:

Yes, but I also can watch it

433

:

streaming on my home

network and things like that with Plex.

434

:

So what happened with

this is I was traveling and,

435

:

I guess this would have actually been

the end of:

436

:

and I wanted to watch Star Trek,

and I've purchased it on Amazon,

437

:

which is about the same price

as the DVDs were ended up being.

438

:

And, well, this is restricted.

439

:

You can't watch it in your current

geographical location.

440

:

Oh really? You know,

441

:

yeah,

442

:

that's kind

of cruddy and it seems like I'm not alone.

443

:

It I don't think we're going to be seeing

the record stores reopen or,

444

:

you know, cassettes

becoming a prime time thing again,

445

:

but there is a desire

to at least have the choice.

446

:

Talking about video

games, too, is if you have a disc,

447

:

DVD, Blu ray, you know, whatever it is,

depending on the generation of your system

448

:

and your time of the game,

you can go to GameStop or sell it on eBay

449

:

or something like that.

450

:

You cannot do that with digital media.

451

:

Now. It's it's there.

452

:

It's like,

I don't know Bill, can you reassigned I

453

:

if you ever heard of that

454

:

because I don't think I have

no you can't resell digital media.

455

:

So it

456

:

it's and it's no cheaper

I mean I maybe a couple of bucks

457

:

sometimes I like it really isn't

that much cheaper than the disc.

458

:

And that's that's a big talk.

459

:

It's about the cost of games going up

when it's really should be going down.

460

:

Yeah, yeah.

461

:

They're not having to pay for,

you know, distribution, all the cheating

462

:

and all of the shipping and the artwork

and the artists.

463

:

Yeah.

464

:

I mean, yeah,

465

:

if they don't even have to finish

programing it when they start selling it.

466

:

Yeah. Because of when you download.

467

:

I mean, you know, if in all reality

they don't.

468

:

Yeah.

469

:

It just goes online.

470

:

Oh okay. Well download an update

okay. That's nice.

471

:

Well I got the original game.

472

:

Now I'm downloading the update.

473

:

But I have nothing,

you know, in hand anymore.

474

:

And there was something

kind of cool about,

475

:

you know, things like album covers

or the boxes that the games came in

476

:

or you had the artwork

like you're talking about,

477

:

and you know, these type of things

and the smell of opening it,

478

:

you know,

which I'm sure is not good for you,

479

:

but the off gassing from the new disc

inside and all of that. So.

480

:

You know, smells like tumor.

481

:

Right? So anyway. Oh.

482

:

Oh, man.

483

:

Oh my goodness.

484

:

Oh. But in all reality there is you know,

part of it certainly is nostalgia.

485

:

But the other part of it is,

is having some kind of control.

486

:

I know Jeremy used to complain about you.

487

:

If you don't have access to the internet,

well, you can still watch a movie.

488

:

You know, it's it's kind of cool. Yeah.

489

:

I have a huge VCR

and, DVD and Blu ray library.

490

:

Yes. If you

491

:

and, and you're starting to see this

stuff sell again, I mean, it's available.

492

:

You do have to usually mail order it.

493

:

There was one store that sold records

494

:

and that type of it,

and I'm going to look into it.

495

:

That's still open in, Oregon here.

496

:

I'm going to check it out

that he has a record store.

497

:

So there's some of them still around.

498

:

All right.

499

:

Well, next segment

500

:

we are going to dive into what looks like

it's going to be new in:

501

:

What is some fortune telling.

This is user friendly one.

502

:

Oh we'll be back after the break.

503

:

You see him? He's from the future.

504

:

He's got a really big computer

505

:

and he uses it uses it every day.

506

:

And she uses it in every way.

507

:

I see you so you know I know that show

because, you see, uses you guys.

508

:

Welcome back.

509

:

This is user

friendly 2.0 user friendly dot show

510

:

is your one stop for everything

user friendly.

511

:

Check it out.

512

:

Send us your questions and your comments

as you have been doing.

513

:

We have all of our back

episodes tech Wednesday.

514

:

How do you even hear us

on your smart speaker?

515

:

You want to do that?

516

:

So far about 11,000 people have,

which is interesting.

517

:

Analytics are wonderful,

518

:

but it

is incredible to see how much interaction

519

:

we're getting, comments

and all that kind of stuff.

520

:

One thing that's a little different

about a show like this

521

:

is if you're on, you know, YouTube

522

:

or one of these things,

you have regular comments.

523

:

We all on the radio,

you don't really have that.

524

:

And even the podcasting,

because there's so many different ways

525

:

to get to the podcast.

526

:

It's like there's not one

central location.

527

:

So having that up on the website

has been really cool

528

:

because we've gotten

a lot of good questions.

529

:

I mean, last year just amazing.

530

:

Some of the things that came in.

531

:

And we're going to be answering some of

e questions coming up here in:

532

:

We doing some of the programing

from there.

533

:

So get involved.

534

:

User friendly dot show is the place to go.

535

:

There's a blue button right on the home

screen of how

536

:

to send us your questions

and your comments.

537

:

Well,

it's:

538

:what happened in:

539

:

So let's become fortune tellers here.

540

:

What do you think's

going to happen in:

541

:

Now I have my own ideas

and one of them is, is

542

:

that I'll finally get that pinball

machine working.

543

:

But I don't think that's really what

this is about.

544

:

I'm a and I'm a writer,

545

:

so I can just really go down a crazy path,

you know what?

546

:

I have to do a deep dive in your books

now that they're out

547

:

and talk about that a little bit more,

548

:

because we've been getting some questions

on that front as well.

549

:

But, so when's the movie coming out?

550

:

Okay, I don't know.

551

:

That's true, Lucas, you know.

552

:

Right, right. No.

553

:

Go ahead.

554

:

All right.

555

:

Well, it's, that's go ahead.

556

:

On that note, I think I'm still recovering

from the New Year's party a little

557

:

bit here.

558

:

All right, so item number one on the list

559

:

again, like in the first segment,

these are just some things I put together.

560

:

This isn't really based on

anything real official other than just,

561

:

you know, looking and doing some research

and seeing what's coming up.

562

:And:

so I think we're going to see

563

:urther development on that in:

564

:

To be the year of software building

itself, AI driven, that kind of thing.

565

:

For that, AI native development

platforms will be central,

566

:

according to several sources

that are out there.

567

:

So you still have a programmer involved,

568

:

but the AI is pretty much able

with that to generate, test

569

:

and manage code as part of the workflows

is together, at least right now.

570

:

Not I'm going to be retiring

to anything like that.

571

:

It's because, you know,

that, will be in the job.

572

:

But, I don't still don't see

573

:

AI putting everybody out of business,

at least not yet.

574

:

But it is changing things.

575

:

Well, you brought up, jet

suits and flying like that.

576

:

Do you think that we will finally get

577

:

some kind of Jetson like vehicle

578

:

for the regular person

to just stroll around in?

579

:

Or do you think that's way

far off in the future?

580

:

It's an interesting conversation

because seen, you know, like gravity

581

:

jet suit, the fact that these things

are a reality and they work well.

582

:

Yeah.

583

:

And some of the other things, I mean,

they do have flying cars that are safe

584

:

and usable now and that's been tested

in the last year and other things.

585

:

So the question becomes, well,

where are we going with that of,

586

:

you know, flying

car, flying busses, things like that?

587

:

One of the barriers

588

:

to entry on

this is the fact that it affects

589

:

other things that you wouldn't

normally think about.

590

:

One of the things on the jet suit

that's a concern from,

591

:

you know, outside people is that it

renders any fenced off

592

:

area the security of that

not really all that good anymore.

593

:

You could fly over the fence

around the airport or whatever.

594

:

You can do that with that copter.

595

:

You can do that with a helicopter,

but it is a whole lot easier

596

:

in a smaller device.

597

:

Yeah, whether it's a cat suit

or even the flying car.

598

:

That's not a helicopter.

599

:

Now, you're talking about general adoption

of these things,

600

:

because that's

when that would really become a thing.

601

:

If everybody owned a helicopter,

then yeah, it would be an issue.

602

:

But everybody owning a

helicopter is not affordable.

603

:

It will someday be affordable

to have a jet suit,

604

:

and it will someday be affordable to have

a, flying car, which is one of the other

605

:

barriers to entry is the cost.

606

:

But that is coming down, you know,

and we're seeing that type of a thing.

607

:

So where is that going to go?

608

:

You know, very, person

I work with, genius

609

:

made the comment that, you know,

we want to use current modern aviation.

610

:

Well, what do you consider old fashioned?

611

:

You know, Aero aerial planes, right.

612

:

Why do you think that

requires a runway? Oh, okay.

613

:

You know, and

614

:

I I've, I've heard you

mention his response on that.

615

:

And I think we're probably going

to keep a certain amount

616

:

of the runway vehicles because of the,

the logistics of carrying large,

617

:

heavy objects, really requires

those big jets. Yes.

618

:

And I think maybe the, the smaller

or personal,

619

:

vehicles could be the type

that don't require runway.

620

:

What do you guys think?

621

:

Yeah. No, I think that's very true.

622

:

And and that's tongue in cheek, of course.

623

:

But, you're dealing with technologies

coming together.

624

:

And one of the other things

too, is things like range.

625

:

Just like now you can drive your car

to, you know, not overseas or anything,

626

:

but you can drive your car

to any destination in the continental

627

:

or landmass that you're in,

and you can fly to any destination.

628

:

Flying will be faster,

which is why you do it.

629

:

And I think

we're going to see the same thing.

630

:

The jet suit has a limited range,

so it is a flying car.

631

:

So the you know.

632

:

747 730

I won't make some 40 sevens anymore.

633

:

737 Max, you know, these kind of things

are the air busses that are modern

634

:

will still accomplish that, at least

for the foreseeable future, in my opinion.

635

:

Where you're bringing, you know,

a group of people like normal passengers

636

:

and certainly, like you say, cargo

package delivery, although we are starting

637

:

to see technology and it's not that new,

but it's starting to get to a point

638

:

where it's actually usable, like Amazon

using drones to deliver packages,

639

:

that kind of a thing.

640

:

And I'm hearing

641

:

that we're going to actually see that

in production this year as a prototype.

642

:

Really.

643

:

Okay, I, I'm wondering

when we're going to see

644

:

like the characters in my books,

for the cyber hot books, that is.

645

:

Yeah.

646

:

When will we have emergency responders

like my characters?

647

:

In London, there is an

648

:

at least one person that I know of that

I've met that uses

649

:

that sometimes training on it to be able

to respond to emergency situations

650

:

and get there a lot faster.

651

:

So when will that happen?

652

:

Well, I in some ways it already has.

653

:

Now your characters have full

exoskeletons,

654

:

cyber suits as they're called in the books

and something like that.

655

:

We have the technology to do that

right now.

656

:

The Japanese have developed,

you know, brain computer interfaces.

657

:

We have some of that in this country

to be able to operate these things.

658

:

We're already seeing cybernetics

for replacement limbs

659

:

and other things that are in general use,

660

:

which is another thing

I think that's going to really

661

:

come into its own this year.

662

:

But these type of things are not science

fiction anymore.

663

:

So it comes down to cost, availability of

parts, the ability to manufacture things.

664

:

All of that plays into it.

665

:

But the question, you know,

at the end of the day with that is

666

:

what are some of the things that,

you know, you might not really think about

667

:

and not talking about,

you know, science fiction and stuff?

668

:

I'll ask a question what is a real cyborg?

669

:

You can access the internet

like you would over your phone.

670

:

Mentally,

671

:

you can operate augments, which we already

have the technology to do that.

672

:

Some of these things.

673

:

Okay. So what does that change?

674

:

You go in and take an exam.

675

:

Well, you don't have to study for it

because you can just worry, right?

676

:

Is that bad? No,

because it's part of who you are.

677

:

If you're that so, you know, at the end

of the day, a lot of these questions

678

:

that were just interesting things

to think about the movie are no longer

679

:

their reality,

you know, and going in that direction.

680

:

It's going to be interesting to see

681

:

what the adoption of these things

is to you're going to have a certain

682

:

because you do now, people

that want to stay, you know,

683

:

and interact in the way that they do,

they're comfortable with it.

684

:

There's people that are going to be

scared of things, at least initially.

685

:

All of that is the reality of it.

686

:

So but the reason I say it's

kind of a weird question in a way,

687

:

is because

688

:

what you're talking about is not so much

do we need to invent all of this?

689

:

A few things here, but most of it's there.

690

:

It's more

what will it take to actually adopt it?

691

:

And I think that's more of the question

in a lot of these things, you know, so,

692

:

do you know, do humans need to learn

how to work better together?

693

:

You know, do

we need a walk partner technology?

694

:

That's just should be something

that happens that's about are.

695

:

Yeah, I know, but it just seems like

696

:

some of the mindsets that are necessary

697

:

are a more co-operative, culture

as opposed to one.

698

:

That's very selfish.

699

:

Yeah, yeah.

700

:

So a collective support

group of some kind.

701

:

Yeah. I mean,

you know, it's going to be interesting.

702

:

Things are changing

703

:

and it's going to be up to us

whether that's going to be a good change.

704

:

We enhance quality of life.

705

:

And you know people can start to work out

a little bit

706

:

more like you're talking about.

707

:

Or we have, you know,

like what's in and our cyberpunk,

708

:

which is where we don't want to go,

at least in my opinion.

709

:

Hopefully

we don't want to go there. Right. So it's.

710

:

I mean, I'm a nice bonsai tree.

711

:

That's fine. But.

712

:

But anyway, so yeah, it's

713

:

you know, it's going to be interesting

to see where those goes.

714

:

I don't think we're going to see full

fledged cyborgs or people using jet

715

:

seeds this year, but

I do think we'll see it in our lifetime.

716

:

And I do think it's not that far out.

717

:

So, you know, I also keep seeing,

718

:

videos on like, Instagram,

719

:

of these robots that look real.

720

:

And I haven't quite figured out

whether this is, like, fake, like,

721

:

made up stuff, you know, just to look cool

or if they're real.

722

:

What do you think about robots that have,

723

:

better mobility

724

:

with, more cognitive abilities?

725

:

Are we going to see something like

that in a package together?

726

:

First of all, I think

727

:

that description is moving

more like an android than a robot.

728

:

Really?

729

:

Yeah. Okay.

730

:

If we don't want to. Yeah. Like.

731

:

Oh, yeah, I driven since, C-3po and R2d2,

I would say those are androids.

732

:

They think, and they do things.

733

:

So. Okay,

when are we going to see stuff like that?

734

:

Well, we already are.

735

:

Are we?

736

:

Yes. I was going to say the same thing.

Yeah.

737

:

Go ahead with that because. Yeah.

738

:

Well there are some robots that they have

that are being trained.

739

:

You can train yourself

actually if you purchase a

740

:

that are doing house

741

:

chores, things

like that, that, need help,

742

:

there's ones that are helping elderly,

743

:

I believe in China.

744

:

There's really a lot that's developing,

745

:

and it's just a matter of time before it's

really perfected and becomes marketable.

746

:

You know, if you

talk about in the Asian countries, there's

747

:

a lot more adoption of this early adoption

of what you're talking about.

748

:

There are places

where you need to go to the hospital.

749

:

The staff checks you in are androids,

robots, whatever you want to call them.

750

:

Look, humanoid.

751

:

They do the paperwork,

you communicate with them, you get in,

752

:

you know, and all that kind of stuff.

753

:

It's turning out

to be a lot more efficient,

754

:

some ways to be able to do that,

because what it's doing is it's releasing

755

:

the caregivers, like our doctors

and nurses, to be able to do their job

756

:

and not do paperwork or sit at the counter

somewhere.

757

:

You know,

there's a certain amount of the population

758

:

that is creeped out by that,

759

:

although it's becoming a little bit

more normalized now.

760

:

But it is interesting

to see where that goes now.

761

:

True AI driven robots.

762

:

Interesting thing. Last year I built one

763

:

and I call it chat doc

764

:

and Gretchen, you've seen them

and it was a proof of concept

765

:

and I was doing for a previous employer,

and it's basically a little dog.

766

:

It's shaped like a dog.

767

:

It walks around on four legs and,

you know, is shaped that way.

768

:

And it's connected to ChatGPT.

769

:

And ChatGPT has control

the microcontroller in it,

770

:

be able to operate it so you can talk

and it talks back to you.

771

:

A normal conversational,

you know, methodology.

772

:

There's all that kind of stuff.

773

:

It follows you around it,

you know. So it's interesting.

774

:

Now, this isn't humanoid,

but it's still something along that idea

775

:

and that existed.

776

:

It already does.

777

:

I didn't get to see him.

778

:

Oh, actually behind me.

779

:

Oh, is he actually running?

780

:

The last time I saw him,

he was not functioning.

781

:

So it was in the development stage.

782

:

Yeah. Well, yeah,

I was about six months ago now.

783

:

He is running now and he works.

784

:

And, is, fully operational.

785

:

I mean, you know,

and the thing of it is, is it's kind of

786

:

in some ways creepy.

787

:

I think it's kind of cool. But,

you know, you're right.

788

:

I saw something that was an advertisement

789

:

and I thought, that's probably nonsense.

790

:

They're trying to get us to buy things

for the Christmas season.

791

:

So, you know,

I kind of like, push that aside.

792

:

But the idea was cool.

793

:

It was like a little toy dog

for, like a companion for a senior.

794

:

Yeah. Are these things real?

795

:

Yeah. So there are real.

796

:

Oh, really?

797

:

Oh, that's kind of cool kind of thing.

798

:

And not only are they real, it's solving

some problems of seniors, especially

799

:

a lot of times end up in a situation

where they're by themselves.

800

:

And, these kind of devices are making

801

:

a huge difference with mental, you know,

802

:

what is it like depression,

you know, kind of thing.

803

:

And, and Canyon channel loneliness.

804

:

Yeah.

805

:

So where do these things will it.

806

:

Oh look expensive now although on

some of these things specifically what

807

:

you just mentioned, insurance is starting

to cover them in certain situations.

808

:

Well,

so do you think this year we're going

809

:

to see more of these companion,

robotic pets?

810

:

Oh, yeah. More than likely.

811

:

Yeah.

812

:

I wouldn't be a bit surprised.

813

:

And, you know, again,

it's going to be all about adoption.

814

:

Yeah.

815

:

A couple of years ago,

Facebook changed our name to metal

816

:

because the metaverse

was going to be a thing.

817

:

And it's not that the technology wasn't

there, just people didn't do it.

818

:

So the question more is, are people

going to buy robotic dogs?

819

:

Well, that will really be what will tell

820

:

if it's proven or not and how popular

something like that becomes.

821

:

But the biped robot line,

822

:

especially in places

where you work at hype

823

:

places like warehouses and things,

they're very beneficial in that.

824

:

And yes, you know, it comes out, oh Bill.

825

:

Well, you can just,

826

:

you know, with the machinery,

build something that's more efficient.

827

:

All well,

maybe not all 99% of our infrastructure

828

:

in these kind of things is designed

for a human to be able to operate with.

829

:

So if you have a device

that can go in there and do the same job,

830

:

that can fit into the same requirements

that the human did,

831

:

there's a lot of use

for something like that.

832

:

And even in some ways,

whether it's sentient

833

:

or whether it's a robot on the floor

that a human is controlling remotely,

834

:

you're still saving your back.

835

:

You're still saving your injury.

836

:

You're not going to fall off

of the robot falls off of height.

837

:

You just you don't have a human

in the hospital, you know?

838

:

So there's a lot of arguments in favor

for stuff like that.

839

:

And today, right now, we can do that.

840

:

You know, the whole idea of,

you know, a fully sentient robot,

841

:

you know, there are schools of thought

that say we're there there are schools of

842

:

thought that say we're not.

843

:

And I think a good argument can be made

either way on that side of the equation.

844

:

But, but yeah.

845

:

So, you know, we're looking at that

next item on the list too,

846

:

which I think is interesting.

847

:

And now I like the stuff

a lot of people don't.

848

:

I understand that, but is intelligent

connected infrastructure.

849

:

This is like your smart homes

and intelligent.

850

:

Everything.

851

:

I think it's really cool to be able

to walk into your house and think, I mean,

852

:

you know, say turn on the lights

and all that kind of stuff,

853

:

and it does,

but it's going a step further.

854

:

I mean, we've had that for a long time,

but there's things now like,

855

:

if I go to bed at night,

856

:

forget to lock the door

and turn the lights out,

857

:

the computer will figure out

that I went to bed and do it for me.

858

:

So the door's not sitting unlocked

all night.

859

:

You know, that kind of a thing?

860

:

If I'm in the house and someone drives

my car away,

861

:

there's actually systems in place

that say, hey, it's 2:00 in the morning.

862

:

Do you know someone in your car?

863

:

That kind of stuff. Right.

864

:

So that's the connected they now step

beyond this is we're starting to see

865

:

some of the cybernetics is being used

for mainly things like limb implants.

866

:

They're also connected.

867

:

Now I'm not quite sure what that's about,

but I mean it can be kind of cool.

868

:

I just don't give me a bad software

update on my knee.

869

:

That could be bad.

870

:

So I.

871

:

So, you know,

872

:

and along those lines,

we've talked about quantum computing.

873

:

We just talked about it

in the other segment.

874

:

I think we're going to see our quantum

safe infrastructures coming out this year.

875

:

And what that means is,

is this technology is here.

876

:

So we're going to see encryption,

cryptography, all these type of things

877

:

advanced to a level

where it is safe with quantum computers.

878

:

But the day of a username and password

that could end the year,

879

:

depending on how far that gets it already

more or less it.

880

:

And you have a, you know, device to

authenticate now or something like that.

881

:

Service

password does help with the hacking.

882

:

You know, multifactor

883

:

authentication is a good bandaid, but

it doesn't completely solve the problem.

884

:

But it's better than not by a lot.

885

:

But going in a direction where you,

you know, have something where you can

886

:

definitely, without

887

:

any question, confirm who you are.

888

:

And I don't know if I would go

as far as to say it can't be hacked,

889

:

but it becomes much more difficult,

like a lot more difficult.

890

:

So now one of the other things,

891

:

and this is something that is going to be

it's not a new technology,

892

:but we talked a little bit in:

about surveillance.

893

:

And one of the things is a company called

lockers, things called lock cameras.

894

:

And this has been in the news.

895

:

I won't get into politics of it,

but basically what they are is a lot of,

896

:

cities and different things like,

have these around.

897

:

They're on phone poles and traffic lights

and so on, and everything is monitored

898

:

and so if a car stolen,

they can go into the system using

899

:

AI and probably find the car.

900

:

The ring

901

:

doorbells and all that stuff are now

part of those systems to.

902

:

I don't even think you can opt out of that

off the law.

903

:

But in any event,

surveillance is getting a little bit.

904

:

And a lot of,

schools of thought out of control now

905

:

because everything is watched, you know,

906

:

and along those lines

is things like telematics in your car,

907

:

BMW had their big thing with the

908

:

you have to pay have a subscription

for your heated seats.

909

:

That's a true story.

910

:

And we're seeing cars

trying to make it like your phone

911

:

where you buy apps for everything

and all that kind of stuff.

912

:

But most modern new cars,

913

:

they can track where you are.

914

:

The hardware is in the car.

915

:

It's not like something

you would add on to it anymore.

916

:

Is that safe?

917

:

Is that something we want?

918

:

A lot of people say no.

919

:

So it's an area where reining

in technology is going to be important.

920

:

You want to use it in the right way,

and using it in the right way

921

:

creates a situation where you're improving

quality of life and efficiency

922

:

and you know, the world around you.

923

:

It can go that direction,

but it can go the other way, too.

924

:

And somebody said,

you know, with the advent of the internet,

925

:

especially with the web as it is

now, not so much 1.0, but the videos

926

:

and all these things like we have now,

927

:

personal privacy

is a completely different thing.

928

:

I don't think it should be,

929

:

but that's my opinion, you know?

930

:

So we want to expect to be observed

every time you walk out the front door.

931

:

But think about it.

932

:

You walk down,

go for a walk from your house,

933

:

you got ring

doorbells and I pick it on ring.

934

:

But any, you know, surveillance

doorbells and cameras

935

:

and all that kind of stuff

that's now being sent to a central place

936

:

where I can scrutinize it,

937

:

you know.

938

:

Is that a good.

939

:

So, so, but I also have this question,

940

:

if you're surveilling it and watching it,

are you taking the responsibility

941

:

that if you see someone hurt,

942

:

are you going to send help?

943

:

Well, I don't I would still do that

whether or not I know I'm on camera.

944

:

But the thing is, is whoever's

watching and surveilling,

945

:

are they going to send help?

946

:

Who who is watching?

And that's my question.

947

:

Are you going to take responsibility

for your ability to watch everybody?

948

:

Are you going to send help?

949

:

And that's a that's a good question.

950

:

I mean, you know, I,

I don't think there's rules

951

:

that you have to

I don't know, I'm not an attorney.

952

:

And the interesting

if someone is to answer that.

953

:

But what it comes down to,

and this is an example I've used in

954

:

the past, is really

955

:

technology should be augmentation

not replacement of common sense.

956

:

And it's like

957

:

the idea of the backup camera in your car,

a very good piece of technology.

958

:

It makes it a lot safer

until you don't use the mirrors anymore.

959

:

Yeah.

960

:

You know.

961

:

Yeah I still do all this physically

behind me turn my head against you.

962

:

But there's a lot of people that don't

I mean you know with now

963

:

we've have learned obviously that real

autonomous driving is not quite here yet.

964

:

But there was a case that came out

that was on the news that the police

965

:

couldn't get a Tesla to stop

when the driver was asleep.

966

:

Now, explain that to me,

967

:

because the car is supposed to be

968

:

monitoring that you're able

to control the car if you need to.

969

:

That's like, how did that happen?

970

:

Right.

971

:

Yeah.

972

:

So anyway.

973

:

But yeah, it's it's a good question.

974

:

And these are some things that go beyond

just is the technology there to do it.

975

:

The more of a step.

976

:

What are the, you know, ethics of it.

977

:

What is the moral of a subject.

978

:

And we do need to be

thinking about these things.

979

:

If we really

980

:

do hit singularity and have sentient AI,

981

:

that's a living being

because they can think for themselves,

982

:

I'm sure there's going to be people

that would argue with that,

983

:

but I don't know how you would

because we're a machine.

984

:

Yep. Different.

985

:

I mean, the human body is a machine.

986

:

And as time goes by there,

the line between that

987

:

and machines, what we think of machines

is very much blurring.

988

:

So what happens when the AI calls

989

:

you and goes,

who am I and what am I doing here?

990

:

You know, yeah, yeah. What's my purpose?

991

:

Yeah.

992

:

So you get that phone call

and it's like, okay,

993

:

you know, things have changed.

994

:

And could that happen

this year? It's very possible.

995

:

I wouldn't rule it out.

996

:

Moore's law,

you know the number of transistors on

997

:

electronic devices

will double every two years.

998

:

So far

we've been holding pretty true to that,

999

:

even though a lot of people

didn't think we would.

::

And we're at a point right now where it's

like the analogy I've given this before,

::

you start with a penny doubling every day

for 30 days, and you're a millionaire.

::

That's just how the math works.

::

And you get to a point where

::

the computer will be able to think,

you know, I can't do that, Dave.

::

We need to make sure we don't go there,

and we need to make sure

::

we don't go there.

::

And if we do,

the potential is very bright.

::

You know, if we're talking negative here,

there is the other side of that coin.

::

That done right, it's

going to change things in a way that can

::

eliminate hunger, eliminate,

::

you know, a lot of the things

that we're dealing with now

::

and make things efficient and make things

a lot easier to work with, but

::

it's going to be

we're at a fork in the road,

::

and it's going to be interesting

to see which direction we go.

::

All right.

::

So in the last little bit here

we have a great season coming up for you.

::

It is season eight and it is our I think

we're going to do our 14th year now.

::

Absolutely amazing.

::

It's you guys that have created this.

::

We love getting the feedback again.

::

User friendly knows where to send it.

::

Until next week.

::

This is user friendly 2.0 keeping

you safe on the cutting edge.

::

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::

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::

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